According to Reuters' calculations and the latest data released by the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), speculative dollar net short positions have increased to the highest level in the past two years in last week; as of the week ending April 21st, USD net short positions totaled US$11.51 billion. Net short positions of the previous week reached US$ 11.39 billion. Reuters calculation of total USD net position in the Chicago International Monetary Market is based on the net positions of six major currencies: Japanese Yen, Euro, British Pound, Swiss Franc, Canadian Dollar, and Australian Dollar.To get more news about WikiFX, you can visit wikifx news official website.
Under the impact of the epidemic, the Fed has continuously launched several rounds of quantitative easing that exceeded market expectations, almost exhausting all conventional and unconventional policy ammunition available. As of now, the Fed has reduced interest rates to zero to inject liquidity into various markets. Investors will still pay close attention to the Fed s outlook on the current economy and whether it will give hints on the introduction of negative interest rates in the future.
The brisk rally of 2020 cannot be divorced from the record amount of government stimulus that flowed into the economy. On this account, Lapthorne said the market's roaring comeback is reasonable.He inserted one more caveat into his analysis: 150 years is perhaps too long a timeframe for analyzing the recent bear market. The forces that drive stocks and the economy have evolved over the last century and a half, and so it's possible to slide into the error of comparing apples with oranges.
For this reason, Lapthorne averaged the three most recent severe crashes — in 1987, 2000, and 2008 — and then compared them to the rest of his timeframe. He still found that the post-crisis recoveries were similar to the preceding episodes, leaving 2020 as the odd one out.Lapthorne's grand conclusion is that history is rife with many examples of bear rallies that give way to even deeper losses. He left clients with three recommendations: stay hedged with defensive assets, beware of momentum stocks that are sensitive to broader market moves, and be well-positioned for a rally in undervalued stocks.